Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 85% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 83% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 82% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 81% |
| O/U 224.5 | 80% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 78% |
| O/U 227.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 75% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 74% |
| O/U 230.5 | 71% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 71% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 71% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 231.5 | 68% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 68% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| O/U 232.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| O/U 233.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| O/U 234.5 | 63% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 63% |
| O/U 235.5 | 61% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 59% |
| O/U 236.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 57% |
| O/U 237.5 | 56% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| O/U 238.5 | 55% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 55% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 55% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 55% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 53% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| O/U 239.5 | 53% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| O/U 240.5 | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Overtime? | 46% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 45% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| O/U 243.5 | 43% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 41% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 38% |
| O/U 246.5 | 37% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 37% |
| Spread -11.5 | 36% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 36% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 66.5 | 35% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 12.5 | 34% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Pacers O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 30% |
| O/U 249.5 | 30% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 30% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 30% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 27% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 26% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 25% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 24% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 24% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Pacers O/U 133.5 | 20% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 15% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 11% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 85% probability to mavericks vs. pacers. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is po…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $272K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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