Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 95% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| O/U 209.5 | 91% |
| O/U 211.5 | 89% |
| Mavericks O/U 96.5 | 88% |
| O/U 213.5 | 86% |
| Spurs vs. Mavericks | 84% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 84% |
| O/U 215.5 | 82% |
| Mavericks O/U 98.5 | 82% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| O/U 217.5 | 79% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 78% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 78% |
| Spread -3.5 | 77% |
| O/U 219.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| O/U 220.5 | 74% |
| Spread -5.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 73% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 73% |
| O/U 221.5 | 72% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 223.5 | 68% |
| Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 67% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 66% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| O/U 225.5 | 64% |
| O/U 226.5 | 63% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| Spread -10.5 | 60% |
| O/U 227.5 | 60% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 60% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 60% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| O/U 228.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| O/U 229.5 | 56% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 56% |
| O/U 230.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 55% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 54% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 54% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 231.5 | 53% |
| Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Spurs O/U 109.5 | 53% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| O/U 233.5 | 48% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 48% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 47% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 46% |
| O/U 234.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 43% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 42% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 42% |
| O/U 236.5 | 41% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 41% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 40% |
| Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| O/U 239.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 34.5 | 35% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| Spread -18.5 | 34% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| Spread -19.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 242.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 21.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 28% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 129.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 27% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| O/U 245.5 | 24% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 24% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Spurs O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 18% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 18% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 17% |
| Spurs O/U 133.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -28.5 | 13% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -30.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -36.5 | 5% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -19.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 95% YES probability for Spurs vs. Mavericks. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is post…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $338K.
Methodology
We track Spurs vs. Mavericks across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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