Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 22.5 | 94% |
| O/U 24.5 | 92% |
| Ravens O/U 12.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 89% |
| Ravens O/U 10.5 | 89% |
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 88% |
| O/U 28.5 | 86% |
| Browns O/U 12.5 | 85% |
| Browns O/U 10.5 | 83% |
| O/U 30.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| O/U 32.5 | 75% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Browns O/U 13.5 | 71% |
| O/U 34.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| Ravens vs. Browns | 64% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| O/U 36.5 | 63% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| Browns O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| Browns 1H O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| 1H Moneyline | 59% |
| O/U 38.5 | 56% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Ravens O/U 20.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Browns 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Browns Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Browns 1H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Browns O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Browns 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Browns 1H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| O/U 42.5 | 43% |
| Ravens O/U 23.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 42% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 41% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 41% |
| O/U 46.5 | 40% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 40% |
| Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| Browns O/U 20.5 | 39% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Browns 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 38% |
| O/U 44.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 36% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 16.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Ravens vs. Browns: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Ravens O/U 26.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Browns 1H O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| Exact Margin: Browns by 1-6 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| O/U 48.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Browns O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Browns 1H O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 27% |
| Browns 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Safety? | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Ravens O/U 27.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 26% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| O/U 50.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Browns O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Browns O/U 30.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| O/U 52.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 15% |
| O/U 54.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Browns O/U 26.5 | 14% |
| O/U 56.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Ravens O/U 30.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| O/U 58.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Browns O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 60.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 5% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 94% probability to ravens vs. browns. In the upcoming NFL football game between Ravens and Browns, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game. This market will resolve to "Browns" if…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $100K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Ravens vs. Browns on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →