Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 95% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 87% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 87% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 81% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 79% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 78% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 77% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 76% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 76% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 76% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 74% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 72% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 70% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 68% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 66% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 65% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 64% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 61% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 57% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 56% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 56% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 53% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 53% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 49% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 49% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 46% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 46% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 45% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 41% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 40% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 39% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 35% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 34% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 32% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 28% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 27% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 24% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 24% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 23% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 23% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 23% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 22% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 21% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 21% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 21% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 21% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 20% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 20% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 20% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 20% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 20% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 19% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 19% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 19% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 19% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 19% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 17% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 17% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 16% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 15% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 14% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 14% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 12% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 11% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 11% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 11% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 9% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 9% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 7% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 5% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 5% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 2% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cowboys vs. packers - player props stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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