Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 26.5 | 96% |
| O/U 27.5 | 95% |
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 95% |
| O/U 29.5 | 94% |
| O/U 30.5 | 93% |
| O/U 31.5 | 92% |
| Texans O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 32.5 | 91% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 33.5 | 89% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 89% |
| Texans O/U 12.5 | 89% |
| Texans O/U 16.5 | 89% |
| O/U 34.5 | 88% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 88% |
| Texans O/U 13.5 | 88% |
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| O/U 36.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 83% |
| O/U 37.5 | 80% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| O/U 38.5 | 76% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 76% |
| O/U 39.5 | 75% |
| Texans O/U 19.5 | 75% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| O/U 41.5 | 69% |
| O/U 42.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| Texans O/U 20.5 | 68% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| Texans 1H O/U 6.5 | 67% |
| O/U 43.5 | 65% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| Texans 1H O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| O/U 44.5 | 61% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Texans O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 55% |
| Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| O/U 47.5 | 53% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 53% |
| Texans 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Texans O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texans 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys vs. Texans: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texans Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| Texans 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| O/U 49.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Cowboys vs. Texans | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 44% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| O/U 50.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 42% |
| 1H Moneyline | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Texans 1H O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 40% |
| O/U 51.5 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Texans O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| O/U 52.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 36% |
| Texans 1H O/U 17.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| O/U 53.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Texans 1H O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 32% |
| O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Texans 1H O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| O/U 55.5 | 29% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| Texans O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 26% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| O/U 57.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| O/U 58.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| O/U 59.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| O/U 60.5 | 19% |
| O/U 61.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| O/U 62.5 | 15% |
| O/U 63.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 64.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
Market context
The Cowboys vs. Texans prediction market currently prices this outcome at 96% YES. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans". If the game is postponed, th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $92K.
Methodology
This page reviews Cowboys vs. Texans across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%2354a9eb%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Cowboys vs. Texans on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →