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Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 100% Bologna FC 1909 O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Bologna FC 1909 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $242K Liquidity: $502K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
Bologna FC 1909 O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Bologna FC 1909 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Cagliari Calcio (-4.5)50%
Cagliari Calcio (-5.5)50%
O/U 1.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Bologna FC 1909 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Bologna FC 1909 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Bologna FC 1909 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Bologna FC 1909 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 4.549%
Bologna FC 1909 O/U 3.549%
Bologna FC 1909 O/U 4.549%
2nd Half O/U 1.549%
Bologna FC 1909 2nd Half (-1.5)48%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half32%
Both Teams to Score31%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.531%
Bologna FC 1909 O/U 1.528%
2nd Half O/U 2.527%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 3.524%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 5.524%
Bologna FC 1909 O/U 5.524%
Bologna FC 1909 O/U 2.522%
2nd Half O/U 3.521%
Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)20%
2nd Half O/U 4.519%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.518%
O/U 2.514%
Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)4%
Cagliari Calcio O/U 2.54%
Cagliari Calcio 2nd Half (-1.5)4%
O/U 3.53%
Bologna FC 1909 (-4.5)2%
Bologna FC 1909 (-5.5)2%
Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)1%
Bologna FC 1909 (-3.5)1%
O/U 4.51%
Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)0%
Cagliari Calcio (-3.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Bologna FC 1909 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Bologna FC 1909 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Bologna FC 1909 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Bologna FC 1909 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half (-1.5)0%
Cagliari Calcio 1st Half (-2.5)0%
Bologna FC 1909 1st Half (-1.5)0%
Bologna FC 1909 1st Half (-2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cagliari calcio vs. bologna fc 1909 - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 24 at 9:00 AM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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