Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 100% |
| Match Winner | 79% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kar…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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