Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 56% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 52% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 51% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 51% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% |
| Map 1 Winner | 43% |
| Map 2 Winner | 43% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 40% |
| Match Winner | 36% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 33% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 32% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 32% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 27% |
| Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 19% |
Market context
Market consensus: 56% chance of valorant: team liquid vs eternal fire (bo3) - vct emea group omega. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Liquid and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 15 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EM… on PolyGram
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