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Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx

Five-platform snapshot of "Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 191.5 95% O/U 193.5 92% O/U 194.5 91% Spread -5.5 70% Volume: $286K Liquidity: $577K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 191.595%
O/U 193.592%
O/U 194.591%
Spread -5.570%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 19.566%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 22.551%
Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.551%
Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.551%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 17.550%
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.550%
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.550%
Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 7.550%
Kayla McBride: Points O/U 16.550%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.550%
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 8.543%
Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.531%
Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.527%
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx14%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 20.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 95% chance of indiana fever vs. minnesota lynx. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 2 at 1:00PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 191.5 at 95% for "Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx".

O/U 191.5 95% Other 5%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $286K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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