Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
61% | 39% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
61% | 39% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 182.5 | 61% |
| Spread -14.5 | 57% |
| O/U 183.5 | 57% |
| Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 18.5 | 57% |
| O/U 184.5 | 55% |
| Spread -15.5 | 54% |
| Natasha Howard: Points O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Kayla McBride: Points O/U 17.5 | 52% |
| Natasha Howard: Points O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| O/U 185.5 | 52% |
| Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Natasha Howard: Assists O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 186.5 | 49% |
| Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Kayla McBride: Points O/U 18.5 | 48% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| O/U 187.5 | 46% |
| Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 21.5 | 44% |
| Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 40% |
| Courtney Williams: Points O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Olivia Miles: Points O/U 17.5 | 33% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 20.5 | 30% |
| Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx | 9% |
Market context
The Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction market currently prices this outcome at 61% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 28 at 8:00PM ET: If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Ly…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $140K.
Methodology
This page reviews Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx on PolyGram
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