Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of mubadala citi dc open, qualification: kamilla rakhimova vs heather watson. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Kamilla Rakhimova and Heather Watson in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:00AM E…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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