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Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame

Five-platform snapshot of "Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 1 Winner 100% Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame 91% Volume: $149K Liquidity: $305K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 1 Winner100%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame91%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set Handicap +/-1.574%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 2 Winner73%
Completed Match50%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Match O/U 23.550%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Match O/U 21.545%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Match O/U 22.540%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Total Sets: O/U 2.527%
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Moise Kouame in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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