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Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi

Five-platform snapshot of "Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 76% Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 21.5 55% Completed Match 50% Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $231K Liquidity: $372K Closes: 4 Sept 2026
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Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.576%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 21.555%
Completed Match50%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Game Spread +/-1.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 22.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 Winner46%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi45%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner45%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 2.545%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 23.545%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 10.539%
Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.536%

Market context

Market consensus: 76% chance of winston-salem open: ignacio buse vs benjamin bonzi. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Benjamin Bonzi in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page reviews Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Winston-Salem Open: Ignacio Buse vs Benjamin Bonzi on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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