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Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima

Five-platform snapshot of "Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima 100% Completed Match 100% Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 Winner 100% Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $135K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima100%
Completed Match100%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 Winner100%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 1 Winner100%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Match O/U 21.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Match O/U 22.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Match O/U 23.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima Set 1 O/U 8.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of brasov: guido justo vs sebastian gima. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Sebastian Gima in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guid…

Methodology

This page reviews Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gima across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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