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Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev

Five-platform snapshot of "Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev 100% Completed Match 100% Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Game Spread +/-3.5 100% Volume: $117K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev100%
Completed Match100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Game Spread +/-3.5100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set 1 Winner100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set 2 Winner100%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Match O/U 21.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Match O/U 22.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to plovdiv 3: georgii kravchenko vs yanaki milev. This market refers to the tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Yanaki Milev in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Krav…

Methodology

We track Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Plovdiv 3: Georgii Kravchenko vs Yanaki Milev on PolyGram

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Related Topics

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