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US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien

Live odds for "US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 75% US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 67% US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 57% US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 55% Volume: $121K Liquidity: $250K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.575%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.567%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.557%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.555%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.553%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner49%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner48%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien46%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.545%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.539%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.530%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.530%
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.519%

Market context

The US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien prediction market currently prices this outcome at 75% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' i…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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