World Cup Winner
Yes 11%
No 89%
Vol. $3434.7M
Looking for a Polymarket alternative? We compare the best prediction market platforms for 2026: fees, market depth, KYC requirements, deposit methods, and payout speed.
Polymarket is the dominant global prediction market by volume — over $1 billion in open interest across politics, crypto, and current events. But its structure creates real barriers for many traders:
PolyGram mirrors Polymarket's order book and market selection with a layer designed for traders who find Polymarket's pure crypto-native UX too demanding:
If you're a US resident who wants regulated prediction markets, Kalshi is the only CFTC-regulated option. Since Polymarket is blocked from the US, Kalshi fills the gap with:
Limitations: heavily US-focused market selection, limited access for international users, no cryptocurrency price markets.
Smarkets operates a genuine peer-to-peer betting exchange under UKGC licence — covering Premier League, Champions League, Wimbledon, UK elections, and international politics. For UK users who want GBP deposits and UKGC consumer protections, Smarkets is the most accessible alternative. Limitation: no crypto markets, higher commission than prediction market platforms (2% on net winnings).
Manifold Markets uses play money — no real money at stake. This makes it ideal for learning prediction market mechanics, practicing market-making, or running low-stakes forecasting competitions with friends or communities. No financial risk, wide topic coverage, active community. Not a Polymarket replacement for serious financial forecasting — but the best tool for building skills before trading real capital.
Metaculus is the most rigorous forecasting platform without real money. Its Metaculus prediction aggregation methodology is used by policy researchers, intelligence analysts, and academics as a genuine forecasting tool. No trades, just probability estimates — but if you want calibration training and a community of serious forecasters, Metaculus is unmatched. Often cited alongside Polymarket in academic research on crowd forecasting.
Kalshi is the only CFTC-regulated US prediction market. PolyGram also works from US IP addresses without the geographic block Polymarket enforces.
Polymarket settled with the CFTC in January 2022 over offering binary event contracts to US persons without proper registration. As part of the settlement, Polymarket blocks US IP addresses.
Yes — PolyGram sources market data directly from Polymarket's order books, so prices and market availability are identical. PolyGram adds sports markets and a simpler account model on top.
PolyGram is better for users who want easier onboarding (no wallet required), sports markets, and custodial account management. Polymarket is better for crypto-native users who prefer non-custodial control and direct on-chain settlement.
Yes — PolyGram accepts USDC deposits but handles the wallet infrastructure so you never need to manage a private key or install MetaMask. Kalshi accepts ACH bank deposits with no crypto knowledge required.
PolyGram covers sports prediction markets (football, F1, tennis, basketball). Smarkets is the best UKGC-regulated alternative for sports exchange betting with GBP deposits.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly