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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% O/U 3.5 Games 91% Volume: $3.6M Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 11 Oct 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
O/U 3.5 Games91%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?90%
Game 2 Winner80%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?76%
Game 3 Winner61%
Game 4 Winner59%
Match Winner57%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan49%
Both Teams Beat Roshan48%
Any Player Ultra Kill48%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Any Player Rampage47%
O/U 4.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)32%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?10%
Game Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Yandex (+2.5)8%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TY (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)0%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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