Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.

Duke vs. Virginia — Real-Money Market Odds | Polymarket 2026

Name: Duke vs. Virginia
Start: 2026-10-12T17:45:18.000Z
End: 2026-10-23T23:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Trade this market →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Trade this market →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1Q O/U 7.5	100%
1Q O/U 10.5	100%
1Q O/U 13.5	100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	100%
1H Spread -1.5	92%
Spread -0.5	77%
O/U 35.5	73%
4Q O/U 10.5	73%
Spread -1.5	68%
O/U 37.5	67%
4Q O/U 7.5	67%
O/U 39.5	64%
1H Spread -3.5	64%
Spread -2.5	61%
4Q O/U 16.5	61%
Virginia O/U 23.5	59%
3Q O/U 16.5	56%
2Q Spread -3.5	54%
Spread -3.5	53%
O/U 41.5	53%
3Q O/U 7.5	53%
Virginia 2H O/U 14.5	51%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	51%
Spread -20.5	50%
Spread -0.5	50%
Spread -4.5	50%
O/U 43.5	50%
1H O/U 21.5	50%
1H O/U 24.5	50%
1H O/U 33.5	50%
2H O/U 21.5	50%
2H O/U 24.5	50%
2H O/U 33.5	50%
Duke O/U 32.5	50%
Virginia O/U 26.5	50%
Virginia O/U 29.5	50%
Virginia O/U 32.5	50%
Virginia O/U 35.5	50%
Duke 1H O/U 11.5	50%
Duke 1H O/U 13.5	50%
Duke 1H O/U 15.5	50%
Virginia 1H O/U 12.5	50%
Virginia 1H O/U 14.5	50%
Virginia 1H O/U 16.5	50%
Duke 2H O/U 11.5	50%
Duke 2H O/U 13.5	50%
Duke 2H O/U 15.5	50%
Virginia 2H O/U 12.5	50%
Virginia 2H O/U 16.5	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Duke vs. Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	50%
Game Goes to Overtime	50%
Duke vs. Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Duke vs. Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5	50%
Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Duke Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Duke Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Duke Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Duke Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Duke 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Duke 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Duke Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Duke Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Duke Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Duke Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Duke Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Duke vs. Virginia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Duke vs. Virginia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Duke vs. Virginia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	50%
1H Spread -1.5	50%
1H Spread -0.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -0.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
Duke O/U 2.5	50%
Virginia O/U 2.5	50%
1H Moneyline	50%
1Q Moneyline	50%
2Q Moneyline	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
Spread -5.5	48%
4Q O/U 13.5	46%
4Q Spread -2.5	45%
Spread -6.5	44%
Duke O/U 20.5	43%
O/U 45.5	41%
2H Spread -2.5	40%
4Q Spread -1.5	39%
3Q O/U 10.5	38%
2H O/U 30.5	35%
2Q O/U 7.5	35%
2H Spread -3.5	35%
Spread -7.5	33%
Spread -8.5	33%
2H O/U 27.5	32%
3Q Spread -3.5	32%
O/U 47.5	31%
3Q O/U 13.5	31%
4Q Spread -3.5	31%
Duke vs. Virginia	29%
3Q Spread -3.5	28%
Spread -10.5	27%
O/U 57.5	27%
Spread -2.5	26%
O/U 49.5	26%
O/U 59.5	26%
Duke O/U 23.5	26%
Spread -1.5	25%
O/U 53.5	25%
O/U 63.5	25%
O/U 73.5	25%
O/U 75.5	25%
Spread -8.5	24%
O/U 65.5	24%
O/U 69.5	24%
4Q O/U 19.5	24%
O/U 71.5	23%
3Q O/U 19.5	23%
Spread -3.5	22%
O/U 51.5	21%
Spread -13.5	20%
2Q Spread -3.5	20%
2Q O/U 13.5	18%
1H Spread -0.5	18%
Spread -4.5	16%
1H O/U 27.5	16%
Duke O/U 26.5	16%
Duke O/U 29.5	16%
Spread -16.5	15%
Spread -6.5	14%
Spread -5.5	14%
Spread -14.5	14%
O/U 55.5	14%
2Q O/U 16.5	14%
1H Spread -3.5	14%
Spread -17.5	13%
O/U 61.5	12%
Spread -20.5	11%
Spread -7.5	10%
2Q O/U 19.5	9%
Spread -10.5	7%
2Q O/U 10.5	7%
O/U 67.5	6%
Spread -13.5	5%
Spread -16.5	4%
Spread -14.5	4%
Spread -17.5	3%
1H O/U 30.5	3%
1Q O/U 16.5	0%
1Q O/U 19.5	0%
1Q Spread -3.5	0%
1Q Spread -1.5	0%
1Q Spread -0.5	0%
1Q Spread -0.5	0%
1Q Spread -1.5	0%
1Q Spread -3.5	0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Duke vs. Virginia. In the upcoming college football game between Duke and Virginia, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. This market will resolve to "Virginia" …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q O/U 7.5 at 100% for "Duke vs. Virginia".

1Q O/U 7.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $344K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?: Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?: UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?: UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.

Oliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporterand

Emma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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Duke vs. Virginia

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Trade Duke vs. Virginia on PolyGram

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