What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.

Oklahoma State vs. Houston | Polymarket 2026

Name: Oklahoma State vs. Houston
Start: 2026-10-06T01:08:54.000Z
End: 2026-10-17T23:30:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	93%	7%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	93%	7%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Trade this market →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Trade this market →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 39.5	93%
O/U 41.5	93%
O/U 35.5	91%
O/U 43.5	88%
O/U 37.5	85%
O/U 45.5	85%
O/U 47.5	83%
Houston O/U 23.5	82%
2Q O/U 10.5	79%
Oklahoma State O/U 20.5	79%
O/U 49.5	77%
1Q O/U 7.5	75%
O/U 51.5	74%
2Q O/U 13.5	72%
2H Spread -2.5	72%
O/U 53.5	71%
3Q O/U 7.5	70%
Oklahoma State O/U 23.5	69%
O/U 55.5	66%
1Q O/U 10.5	66%
4Q O/U 13.5	65%
1H O/U 27.5	64%
O/U 57.5	63%
Spread -0.5	62%
Spread -1.5	61%
Spread -2.5	59%
3Q O/U 10.5	58%
O/U 59.5	57%
1H O/U 30.5	56%
1H Spread -0.5	56%
1Q O/U 13.5	55%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 13.5	55%
3Q O/U 13.5	54%
Houston 1H O/U 14.5	54%
Houston 1H O/U 12.5	53%
Houston 1H O/U 16.5	53%
Spread -3.5	52%
O/U 61.5	52%
1H Spread -2.5	52%
2Q Spread -2.5	51%
Houston O/U 4.5	51%
Oklahoma State O/U 3.5	51%
Spread -20.5	50%
Spread -8.5	50%
1H O/U 21.5	50%
1H O/U 24.5	50%
2H O/U 21.5	50%
2H O/U 24.5	50%
2H O/U 27.5	50%
2H O/U 30.5	50%
2H O/U 33.5	50%
2Q O/U 7.5	50%
2Q O/U 16.5	50%
3Q O/U 16.5	50%
3Q O/U 19.5	50%
4Q O/U 7.5	50%
4Q O/U 10.5	50%
Oklahoma State O/U 26.5	50%
Oklahoma State O/U 32.5	50%
Houston O/U 26.5	50%
Houston O/U 29.5	50%
Houston O/U 32.5	50%
Houston O/U 35.5	50%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 11.5	50%
Oklahoma State 1H O/U 15.5	50%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 11.5	50%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 13.5	50%
Oklahoma State 2H O/U 15.5	50%
Houston 2H O/U 12.5	50%
Houston 2H O/U 14.5	50%
Houston 2H O/U 16.5	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	50%
Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Oklahoma State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Oklahoma State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	50%
Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -0.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -0.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -3.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -5.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -5.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
2Q Moneyline	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
Spread -4.5	49%
Oklahoma State O/U 29.5	49%
O/U 63.5	47%
4Q O/U 16.5	47%
Spread -5.5	46%
2Q O/U 19.5	46%
1H Spread -3.5	46%
1Q Spread -0.5	46%
Spread -6.5	45%
1Q Moneyline	45%
2H Spread -3.5	43%
O/U 65.5	42%
1H Spread -4.5	42%
3Q Spread -2.5	42%
4Q Spread -1.5	42%
1H Moneyline	41%
O/U 67.5	40%
4Q O/U 19.5	40%
1H Spread -5.5	40%
4Q Spread -2.5	40%
2Q Spread -3.5	39%
Oklahoma State vs. Houston	38%
Spread -0.5	38%
Spread -7.5	38%
Spread -1.5	36%
3Q Spread -3.5	36%
Spread -8.5	35%
1Q O/U 16.5	35%
4Q Spread -3.5	35%
Spread -2.5	34%
O/U 69.5	34%
Spread -10.5	32%
O/U 71.5	31%
1Q O/U 19.5	30%
1H Spread -7.5	30%
Spread -3.5	28%
Spread -13.5	27%
1H O/U 33.5	27%
Spread -4.5	26%
1Q Spread -3.5	26%
O/U 73.5	25%
Spread -5.5	24%
Spread -14.5	24%
Spread -16.5	23%
O/U 75.5	23%
Spread -6.5	22%
Spread -17.5	19%
Spread -7.5	18%
Spread -20.5	16%
Spread -10.5	14%
Spread -13.5	12%
Spread -14.5	10%
Spread -16.5	9%
Spread -17.5	7%
Game Goes to Overtime	4%

Market context

Market consensus: 93% chance of oklahoma state vs. houston. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Oklahoma State and Houston, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oklahoma State" if Oklahoma State win …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 39.5 at 93% for "Oklahoma State vs. Houston".

O/U 39.5 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $220K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?: Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?: UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?: UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.

Oliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporterand

Emma RobertsFinancial Journalist

Trade Oklahoma State vs. Houston on PolyGram

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Oklahoma State vs. Houston

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Trade Oklahoma State vs. Houston on PolyGram

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