Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 99% |
| Spread -2.5 | 98% |
| Spread -3.5 | 98% |
| Spread -7.5 | 98% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 98% |
| Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| Spread -5.5 | 97% |
| Spread -6.5 | 97% |
| Spread -10.5 | 97% |
| O/U 37.5 | 97% |
| Spread -9.5 | 97% |
| Spread -11.5 | 97% |
| Spread -0.5 | 96% |
| Spread -13.5 | 96% |
| Spread -14.5 | 95% |
| Spread -16.5 | 95% |
| O/U 43.5 | 93% |
| Spread -17.5 | 92% |
| O/U 45.5 | 90% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 90% |
| Oregon State O/U 35.5 | 90% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 88% |
| Spread -20.5 | 86% |
| Spread -21.5 | 85% |
| O/U 47.5 | 84% |
| O/U 39.5 | 83% |
| Spread -23.5 | 83% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| O/U 49.5 | 82% |
| Spread -24.5 | 79% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 79% |
| O/U 51.5 | 75% |
| Spread -18.5 | 74% |
| Spread -19.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Spread -22.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 71% |
| Spread -25.5 | 68% |
| Spread -26.5 | 68% |
| O/U 53.5 | 65% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| Spread -28.5 | 60% |
| O/U 59.5 | 55% |
| O/U 57.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Oregon State O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| Oregon State O/U 26.5 | 53% |
| Spread -31.5 | 53% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 51% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -32.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 49% |
| Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| O/U 63.5 | 46% |
| Spread -34.5 | 46% |
| Spread -35.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| O/U 65.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| O/U 61.5 | 38% |
| Spread -38.5 | 36% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| O/U 69.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| O/U 71.5 | 29% |
| O/U 73.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 23% |
| O/U 75.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Washington State O/U 20.5 | 18% |
| Washington State O/U 23.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| Spread -1.5 | 2% |
| Washington State vs. Oregon State | 1% |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
The Washington State vs. Oregon State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Washington State and Oregon State, scheduled for October 17 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington State win the game.…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $129K.
Methodology
We track Washington State vs. Oregon State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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