Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Completed Match | 99% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of los cabos open, qualification: luis carlos alvarez vs edward winter. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez and Edward Winter in the Los Cabos Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. Thi…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez v… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →