Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 96% |
| O/U 37.5 | 94% |
| O/U 39.5 | 92% |
| O/U 41.5 | 89% |
| O/U 43.5 | 87% |
| O/U 45.5 | 82% |
| San Diego State O/U 20.5 | 82% |
| O/U 47.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| O/U 49.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Colorado State O/U 23.5 | 74% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 69% |
| O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 67% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 11.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 63% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| O/U 57.5 | 58% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 54% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Colorado State O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| 1H Moneyline | 53% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 47% |
| O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 43% |
| Colorado State O/U 26.5 | 43% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| San Diego State O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Colorado State O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| Colorado State O/U 32.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 41% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 41% |
| O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| O/U 65.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| O/U 67.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| San Diego State O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 69.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Colorado State O/U 35.5 | 28% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 27% |
| Colorado State O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| O/U 71.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| O/U 73.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| O/U 75.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
Market context
Market consensus: 96% chance of san diego state vs. colorado state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Colorado State, scheduled for October 24 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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