The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

London Spirit women’s match against Manchester Super Giants women in The Hundred is already reflected on Polymarket as **0% YES**, which is consistent with a market that has moved past the point of meaningful upside unless the contract has not yet resolved on-chain. The market settles on the final result published by ESPNcricinfo, and the event itself was scheduled for 23 July 2026 at Lord’s. [2][3]

For a trader reading the current price, the key comparison is not the pre-match matchup but how Polymarket contracts behave once a result has effectively been established off-chain but has not yet propagated through the oracle path. In comparable cricket markets, the winning side is treated as an ordinary win even if the result comes via DLS, DRS, penalties, walkover, or a tiebreak such as a Super Over, so the only real dispute is whether the fixture produced a clear winner that can be finalised. [1][2]

The practical catalysts are therefore confirmation and settlement rather than sport-level uncertainty: team-sheet posts, fixture updates, and the ESPNcricinfo result feed are the relevant triggers. The market uses conditional tokens on Polygon, so resolution depends on the outcome being recognised and the token state being updated; with the match already played, traders are mainly watching for any delay, correction, or abandonment note rather than for the on-field scoreline itself. [1][2][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.