Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
77% | 23% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
77% | 23% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ghana Corners: O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Colombia Corners: O/U 4.5 | 68% |
| Team to Take First Corner | 64% |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Colombia Corners: O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Ghana Corners: O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 50% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Colombia Corners: O/U 6.5 | 40% |
| Ghana Corners: O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 14% |
Market context
Colombia vs. Ghana - Total Corners — current market-implied probability: 77%. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews Colombia vs. Ghana - Total Corners across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Colombia vs. Ghana - Total Corners on PolyGram
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