Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cheonan City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Seoul E-Land FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Cheonan City FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Seoul E-Land FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Cheonan City FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Seoul E-Land FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Cheonan City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Seoul E-Land FC and Cheonan City FC are scheduled to meet in K League 2 at Mokdong Stadium, with kick-off listed for 10:30 local time, which corresponds to the contract’s settlement window on Polymarket. On Polymarket, the price on this “More Markets” contract is **0% YES** today, so the market is effectively saying no verified qualifying outcome has been priced in yet, with settlement still tied to whether the listed match and any related conditions are ultimately recorded on the chain-settled outcome feed.
For a trader, the cleanest read on 0% is not that the football event cannot happen, but that the market has not yet assigned any on-chain probability to the extra-market condition set. Comparable Seoul E-Land and Cheonan City pricing elsewhere has been much more balanced, with FootyStats showing Seoul E-Land win at 1.85, Cheonan City at 3.75, and the draw at 3.20, which is a reminder that side-market uncertainty does not automatically map to a dead contract.[3] The recent head-to-head result also matters: Cheonan City beat Seoul E-Land 4-2 in a previous meeting, which frames how quickly a K League 2 matchup can swing on finishing variance rather than pre-match reputation.[2]
The practical catalysts are straightforward: official team news, line-ups, venue confirmation, and any schedule change before the 2026-07-24T10:30:00Z settlement cut-off. A late alteration to kick-off time, fixture status, or whether the relevant “more markets” condition is published in the match data is what can move a Polygon-settled conditional token from unpriced to resolved, because Polymarket pays out in USDC only when the oracle’s final event definition is satisfied. The stadium listing itself points to Mokdong Stadium, capacity 20,326, so traders should watch for any last-minute operational notices from the competition or venue rather than assuming the market will settle purely on the final scoreline.[1]
Methodology
This page reviews Seoul E-Land FC vs. Cheonan City FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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