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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Spread -1.5 87% Volume: $838K Liquidity: $353K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
Spread -1.587%
Spread -2.571%
O/U 6.552%
Extra Innings50%
Spread -1.550%
O/U 4.540%
Spread -3.532%
O/U 5.524%
O/U 7.512%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners6%
NRFI0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

The Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 5 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 100% for "Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners".

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $838K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners on PolyGram

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Related Topics

Sports