Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Hammarby Fotboll against RSC Anderlecht is a Europa League match settled by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded, so Polymarket users are really pricing a precise final-score outcome rather than a simple win/loss. At 0% YES, the contract is trading as if the listed scoreline is effectively dismissed, leaving the market to sit on Polygon with USDC-backed positions represented through conditional tokens until the event resolves.

For exact-score markets, the fastest way to read a near-zero price is to compare it with how tightly football scores cluster around low totals. Historical match distributions are dominated by 1-0, 1-1, 2-0 and 2-1 type results, while higher-scoring or unusual scorelines are much less common; in the available head-to-head data for Hammarby and Anderlecht, 75% of meetings went over 2.5 goals, pointing to a relatively open scoring profile rather than a cagey nil-nil pattern.[1] That does not validate any single exact score, but it does explain why traders usually treat exact-score contracts as highly fragile unless team news strongly favours one narrow outcome.

The practical catalysts are the same ones that move any pre-kickoff score market: confirmed line-ups, injury or suspension updates, weather, and any schedule change that shifts the match window. Because this market stays open if the fixture is postponed until completion, traders also need to watch official competition and club announcements for rescheduling or venue changes, since those can extend the life of the contract and delay settlement mechanics on-chain.

Sources: 1

Methodology

We track Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.