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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

How the prediction-market book is pricing "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 84% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 78% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 71% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 51% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $175K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.584%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.578%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.571%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
Extra Innings50%
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves46%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.541%
O/U 9.539%
Spread -1.538%
O/U 8.536%
Spread -1.533%
NRFI31%

Market context

The New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves prediction market currently prices this outcome at 84% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 3 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market w…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 84% for "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 84% Other 16%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $192K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports