Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 99% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Winner | 1% |
| Match Winner | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Cloud9 (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and Cloud9 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 7 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieve…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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