Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko. This market refers to the tennis match between Ankita Raina and Ekaterina Ovcharenko in the The Memphis Classic, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will r…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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