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Browns vs. Jets

Five-platform snapshot of "Browns vs. Jets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $3.3M Liquidity: $212K Closes: 11 Oct 2026
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Browns vs. Jets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
O/U 18.5100%
O/U 20.5100%
O/U 22.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 14.5100%
Browns O/U 10.5100%
Jets O/U 10.5100%
Jets O/U 12.5100%
Jets O/U 13.5100%
Jets O/U 16.5100%
Jets 1H O/U 6.5100%
Jets 2H O/U 6.5100%
Exact Margin: Jets by 1-6100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q100%
2Q Moneyline100%
3Q Moneyline50%
Browns vs. Jets0%
O/U 30.50%
O/U 32.50%
O/U 34.50%
O/U 36.50%
O/U 38.50%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 16.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
2H O/U 16.50%
2H O/U 19.50%
2H O/U 22.50%
2H O/U 25.50%
2H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 5.50%
2Q O/U 6.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 5.50%
3Q O/U 6.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
Browns O/U 12.50%
Browns O/U 13.50%
Browns O/U 16.50%
Browns O/U 19.50%
Browns O/U 20.50%
Browns O/U 23.50%
Browns O/U 26.50%
Browns O/U 27.50%
Browns O/U 30.50%
Browns O/U 34.50%
Jets O/U 19.50%
Jets O/U 20.50%
Jets O/U 23.50%
Jets O/U 26.50%
Jets O/U 27.50%
Jets O/U 30.50%
Jets O/U 34.50%
Browns 1H O/U 6.50%
Browns 1H O/U 10.50%
Browns 1H O/U 12.50%
Browns 1H O/U 13.50%
Browns 1H O/U 16.50%
Browns 1H O/U 17.50%
Browns 1H O/U 19.50%
Browns 1H O/U 20.50%
Jets 1H O/U 10.50%
Jets 1H O/U 12.50%
Jets 1H O/U 13.50%
Jets 1H O/U 16.50%
Jets 1H O/U 17.50%
Jets 1H O/U 19.50%
Jets 1H O/U 20.50%
Browns 2H O/U 6.50%
Browns 2H O/U 10.50%
Browns 2H O/U 12.50%
Browns 2H O/U 13.50%
Browns 2H O/U 16.50%
Browns 2H O/U 17.50%
Browns 2H O/U 19.50%
Browns 2H O/U 20.50%
Jets 2H O/U 10.50%
Jets 2H O/U 12.50%
Jets 2H O/U 13.50%
Jets 2H O/U 16.50%
Jets 2H O/U 17.50%
Jets 2H O/U 19.50%
Jets 2H O/U 20.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Exact Margin: Browns by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Browns by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Browns by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Browns by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Browns by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: Jets by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Jets by 14-200%
Exact Margin: Jets by 21+0%
Safety?0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q0%
Browns Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Jets Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Browns vs. Jets: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Jets Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
1H Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%
Browns Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%

Market context

Browns vs. Jets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 35% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-11T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Browns vs. Jets".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.3M.

Methodology

We track Browns vs. Jets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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