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Broncos vs. 49ers

Live odds for "Broncos vs. 49ers" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% Volume: $9.2M Liquidity: $3K Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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Broncos vs. 49ers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
O/U 25.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
2H O/U 22.5100%
2H O/U 25.5100%
2H O/U 28.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 14.5100%
Broncos O/U 10.5100%
Broncos O/U 12.5100%
Broncos O/U 13.5100%
49ers O/U 10.5100%
49ers O/U 12.5100%
49ers O/U 13.5100%
49ers O/U 16.5100%
49ers O/U 19.5100%
49ers O/U 20.5100%
49ers O/U 23.5100%
Broncos 2H O/U 6.5100%
Broncos 2H O/U 10.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 6.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 10.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 12.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 13.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 16.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 17.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 19.5100%
49ers 2H O/U 20.5100%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 7-13100%
Team to Record Longest FG100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q100%
49ers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5100%
Broncos vs. 49ers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5100%
49ers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
2H Spread -6.590%
1H Moneyline50%
Broncos vs. 49ers0%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 48.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
O/U 38.50%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 16.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 5.50%
1Q O/U 6.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 5.50%
2Q O/U 6.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
Broncos O/U 16.50%
Broncos O/U 19.50%
Broncos O/U 20.50%
Broncos O/U 23.50%
Broncos O/U 26.50%
Broncos O/U 27.50%
Broncos O/U 30.50%
Broncos O/U 34.50%
49ers O/U 26.50%
49ers O/U 27.50%
49ers O/U 30.50%
49ers O/U 34.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 6.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 10.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 12.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 13.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 16.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 17.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 19.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 20.50%
49ers 1H O/U 6.50%
49ers 1H O/U 10.50%
49ers 1H O/U 12.50%
49ers 1H O/U 13.50%
49ers 1H O/U 16.50%
49ers 1H O/U 17.50%
49ers 1H O/U 19.50%
49ers 1H O/U 20.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 12.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 13.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 16.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 17.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 19.50%
Broncos 2H O/U 20.50%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 1-60%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 14-200%
Exact Margin: 49ers by 21+0%
Safety?0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q0%
Broncos Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Broncos Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to broncos vs. 49ers. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25PM ET: If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If 49ers wins, the market will resolve to "49ers". If the game is postponed, this…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -1.5 at 100% for "Broncos vs. 49ers".

Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $9.2M.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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